
This morning the lucky few nominees were unveiled, prefacing what is sure to be a legendary Academy Awards show, hosted by funnymen Steve Martin and Alec Baldwin (stars of It’s Complicated)- airing Sunday, March 7th (8pm/5pm PT).
Over the years, The Oscars have provided us with nothing short of quality television. We cried along with Halle Berry when she broke racial barriers with her “Best Actress” win for Monster’s Ball, and we laughed aloud at director Roberto Benigni’s chair jumping excitement after winning for Life Is Beautiful. And even if we weren’t born yet- we’ve certainly heard of Sally Field’s 1985 “You Like Me! You Really Like Me! ” speech. These, and many more moments (like Tom Hanks’ post Philadelphia win heartfelt speech, Denzel Washington’s much deserved win for Training Day), are the reasons why we love to watch The Oscars- and our favorite actors who win Hollywood’s highest honor.
Upon request, I have provided the nominees to the top 6 categories, and my reasons for the winning predictions.
TGOT PREDICTIONS ~ OSCARS 2010
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Vera Farmiga – Up In The Air
Anna Kendrick- Up In The Air
Penelope Cruz- Nine
Mo’Nique- Precious
Maggie Gyllenhaal- Crazy Heart
AND THE TGOT PICK IS: Mo’Nique. Winner in the same category for both the Golden Globes and the SAG Awards, if Mo’Nique doesn’t win the Best Supporting Actress Oscar, the Academy will have lost its mind. Nothing short of an amazing performance from the dramatic newcomer, Mo’Nique took on a completely different persona from what she’s used to- and proved just how perfect she was for Lee Daniel’s vision of Mary Jones.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Matt Damon- Invictus
Stanley Tucci- The Lovely Bones
Christoph Waltz- Inglorious Basterds
Woody Harrelson- The Messenger
Christopher Plummer- The Last Station
AND THE TGOT PICK IS: Christoph Waltz. If you have seen Inglorious Basterds, no performance is more captivating than that of Christoph Waltz’s. An extremely talented actor, Waltz handled Tarantino’s very tough material, and came across as the most convincing villain. Waltz is a sure pick for the Oscar, if we’re looking at consistency with SAG and Golden Globe wins.
BEST ACTRESS
Meryl Streep- Julie & Julia
Sandra Bullock- The Blind Side
Gabourey Sidibe- Precious
Carey Mulligan- An Education
Helen Mirren- The Last Station
AND THE TGOT PICK IS: Meryl Streep (over a very close Sandra Bullock). I know, I know… If we’re looking at trends with the past awards shows, Sandra Bullock has an equal, if not better chance at taking this one. Though the star of The Blind Side did a fantastic job, I think the overall movie quality of Julie & Julia, and the cohesiveness of Streep’s performance with the rest of the cast will be the reason why she will win this one, if she wins it. Now, if Bullock wins, I will not be the slightest bit surprised. No more TIES!
BEST ACTOR
Jeff Bridges- Crazy Heart
Morgan Freeman- Invictus
Colin Firth- A Single Man
George Clooney- Up In The Air
Jeremy Renner- The Hurt Locker
AND THE TGOT PICK IS: Jeff Bridges. Why? Because he was phenomenal in this movie as the desolate country singer Bad Blake. And, because the Academy will acknowledge the dedication and commitment Bridges has given to Hollywood, without appropriate recognition. Four previous nominations, no wins. A great year with both Crazy Heart and The Men Who Stare At Goats…this is his time to shine, and it is well deserved.
BEST DIRECTOR
James Cameron- Avatar
Kathryn Bigelow- The Hurt Locker
Jason Reitman- Up In The Air
Lee Daniels- Precious
Quentin Tarantino- Inglorious Basterds.
AND THE TGOT PICK IS: Kathryn Bigelow. Ex-husband James Cameron took “Best Director” at the Golden Globes, but Bigelow came up as a winner for the usually accurate Directors’ Guild Awards. What an amazing job Bigelow did with this movie. A stellar visionary, beautiful and talented work with war material. If she wins, she will be the first woman to win the Oscar for “Best Director”.
BEST PICTURE
Inglorious Basterds
District 9
Avatar
The Hurt Locker
Up In The Air
A Serious Man
An Education
Precious
Up
The Blind Side
AND THE TGOT PICK IS: Avatar. (Over a very close The Hurt Locker). This decision was EXTREMELY hard. But the numbers don’t lie here, and I think the Academy will listen to the record breaking resounding noise that is Avatar. I’m almost certain that the “Best Picture” and “Best Director” winners will not be from/for the same movie. I also think, that the chances for any of these movies are almost equal. I am thrilled to see District 9 replace NINE, because honestly, the Sci-Fi documentary style thriller deserves the recognition. That all being said, if either of my top two don’t get picked, I will be surprised, but not upset. Cheers to all 10 of these nomination being worth the money (and notice, the ones from the list that I did review all got good reviews from me!)
SNUBS & SURE THINGS.
There were a few Oscar snubs worth mentioning from the top six categories. First, notice that Crazy Heart’s Maggie Gyllenhaal replaced Basterds’ Diane Kruger for the “Best Supporting Actress” nod. Though Gyllenhaal did well in her role, I think Diane Kruger deserved the recognition that the Globes gave her. As mentioned before, NINE is not in the running for “Best Picture”, and District 9 is, and deserves to be. Also, Clint Eastwood did not get the nod for “Best Director”, though his leading men earned nods each for acting. Robert Downey Jr. and Sherlock Holmes were also snubbed from the top six, though the movie got a nomination for “Best Art Direction”, and RDJ got the Golden Globe win for “Best Actor”. And finally, Star Trek- though it made a huge buzz at the box office, was not nominated in any of the top six creative categories. Instead, it got four overall Oscar nominations for technical work.
The Hurt Locker and Avatar lead the nominations for this year’s show, though I expect Up In The Air and Inglorious Basterds to win for categories like “Best Cinematography” and “Best Adapted Screenplay”. I expect The White Ribbon to win for “Best Foreign Film”, and The Cove to win “Best Documentary”.
As I’m sure they were for any movie buff, these predictions were often hard to make, and required careful thought. Feel free to challenge my selections, because the difference in opinions will be evidence of the amazing year we’ve had in film. All of the nominated movies are worth watching at the very least, and the ones that win (granted I’m accurate) will certainly be deserving of the award.
Until The Red Carpet,
C.A.M.
P.S.- For the FULL list of nominees and categories….go check out another site.